Sea Level Rise and Mental Health (Florida)

Sea level rise in Florida

The climate crisis is causing sea level to rise worldwide. Melting glaciers and thermal expansion (water expanding when it warms) are the two major causes of sea level rise. Thermal expansion, however, will be dwarfed by the rise in sea level from melting glaciers, which are melting at a dramatically faster rate due to warmer temperatures from climate change.

Sea level has risen an estimated 8-9 inches (20-23 cm) since the 1880s, with more than 6 inches (15 cm) of the total since 1950 alone. By mid-century, the median (middle) estimates show 10–12 inches (25-30 cm) of sea level rise (SLR). Yet leading climate scientists report that much higher levels are likely: up to 7 ft (2.1 m) or even higher in the second half of this century. The uncertainty about the rate of melting glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica makes it difficult to be certain about the amount of SLR.

South Florida is extremely vulnerable to SLR due to multiple factors: a low-lying coastline, porous limestone foundation, long shoreline area, and a dense coastal population. More people are living less than 4 ft (1.2 m) above sea level in Florida’s Miami-Dade county alone than the entire population of any single state in the United States, except for Louisiana. What’s more, SLR does not just affect the coastline, but inland areas as well.

Impacts of sea level rise on South Florida:

  • Damage from storm surge, which is an abnormal rise in water level caused by high winds and low air pressure generated by storms. SLR contributed to the historic storm surge of 15 ft (4.5 m) along the Florida Big Bend region from Hurricane Helene.
  • Damage from “King Tides” – extreme high tides determined by the lunar cycle. SLR is raising the height of king tides, and therefore increasing the amount of flooding they bring, even on “blue sky days” and in good weather.
  • Erosion, which is caused by flooding from storm surges and by flooding on land that is usually dry. The Florida Department of Environmental Protection deems several areas of Miami-Dade county to be “critically eroded”.
  • Damage to infrastructure and the economy: Rising sea level damages infrastructure – roads, bridges, water and sewage systems – and can profoundly reduce a key economic driver of the state’s economy: agriculture. Hurricane Helene alone cost $79.6 billion USD. SLR will also financially harm local governments by undercutting their property tax base.
  • Displacement: While the precise amount of sea level rise is uncertain, SLR of around 6 ft (1.8 m) by 2100 could displace more than 4 million residents in Florida. Most state and county plans for resiliency are not prepared for more than 3-4 ft (0.9-1.2 m).

How does sea level rise impact mental health and wellbeing?

Sea level rise can impact mental health through several pathways:

  1. Climate disasters: SLR is increasing the risk of flooding and storm surges, making hurricanes and tropical storms more damaging. These traumatic events are associated with an increase in a range of psychological ills and disorders. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports that 20-30% of those who live through a hurricane develop depression and/or PTSD within the first few months following the event, with similar rates for people who have experienced flooding. The Center of Disease Control and Prevention reported worsening anxiety (17% of participants) and depression (11%) for Florida Key residents in the months after Hurricane Irma in 2017. Mental health care centers reported large numbers of people seeking psychological support after Hurricane Helene and Milton in 2024.
  2. Displacement: Sea level rise is prompting planned relocations of communities in danger. Relocation is psychologically damaging, understandably, due to the loss of one’s house or the land one calls home, and the loss of a familiar community and the customary activities of daily life. Changes such as these can erode a person’s sense of self and identity, stability, financial security, and community connections.
  3. Direct mental health impacts: Sea level rise has been described as a “creeping change”, causing constant fear, worry, and anxiety as the need for relocation becomes more obvious. Then there is the question that looms even more ominously – relocate where? What, if any, are the options? Chronic stress has been shown to increase morbidity and mortality, meaning that a person is more likely to suffer from chronic illness or die at a younger than expected age.
  4. Indirect mental health impacts: Environmental stressors triggered by SLR, such as coastal flooding, destruction of crops, and contamination of drinking water by saltwater, and the resultant food, water, and income insecurity, have negative impacts on wellbeing, community health, and social stability.

Unequal experiences

Low-income communities: South Florida, and Miami-Dade county in particular, hold vast economic and racial divisions. Sea level rise is not confined to the coastline of Miami, but affects areas further inland – areas where many middle and working class people are already experiencing frequent flooding. The city of Hialeah, for example, has a large population of individuals with a low income, is built on drained marshland, and is ranked second among Florida cities for most insured losses from flood damage. In Miami-Dade county, 40% of the households are low-income, and 20% of families with children live below the poverty line.

South Florida’s housing market plays a large role in the vulnerability of low-income populations, with cost-burdened renters sometimes displaced to lower ground when they can’t afford to remain in gentrified neighborhoods.

Hispanic and LatinX communities: 59% of the population in Miami-Dade county living less than a foot above sea level is Hispanic. Low-income Hispanic and Latinx communities are more likely to live in areas vulnerable to the impacts of climate disasters, and frequently do not get the disaster relief that is needed. Research shows that in the US, Hispanics/Latinos are more worried about and willing to take action on climate change than Whites.

Older adults: Almost 20% of Key Biscayne’s population is elderly, an island with one access road that is a flooding hotspot. Mobility issues, general physical infirmities and psychological/cognitive vulnerabilities present greater relocation and evacuation challenges.

Young people: In Florida, 86% of young people (aged 16-25 years old) are worried about climate change. For some young people, the worry is not just about climate change itself, but that climate change is “undermined by the legislators tasked with solving its impacts“. One example is legislation which erases most references to climate change from state law, signed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in July 2024.

Research findings

Research on the mental health impacts of sea level rise across the globe focus on impacts from acute exposure, such as the trauma from flooding, hurricanes and storm surges, and impacts from chronic exposure to the cascade of ills from displacement or the threat of displacement.

Acute impacts:

Chronic impacts:

  • In East Malaita, Solomon Islands, a 2015 study found that over 90% of community members surveyed reported that SLR is affecting them and their family and is causing fear and worry. “We were afraid and worried all the time when we saw the sea water rise up and it came into our houses […] My worry is big because there is no place for me to go”.
  • An increase in psychological distress was reported following 6-9 months after the 2004 hurricanes in Florida
  • In the Volta Delta region of Ghana, researchers (2024) found that communities that were relocated due to flooding and erosion risks through government-led planned relocations reported lower levels of wellbeing, felt more insecure, more anxious and felt less attached to their home and their environment compared to other communities that weren’t relocated.

When acute becomes chronic: Research on the mental health of Florida residents before and after Hurricane Irma in September 2017 and after Hurricane Michael in October 2018 has found that repeated exposure to hurricanes can compound mental health impacts over time. That is, post-traumatic stress may cumulatively increase when people experience repeated storms. Repeated hurricanes, or the risk of predicted hurricanes, can also trigger peoples’ memories and trauma symptoms from past storms.

What else might we need to know?

The impact of SLR on the mental health of residents in South Florida is likely to be similar to other areas around the world at high-risk or already experiencing the disruptive impacts of SLR, including islands, Asia, and the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast. For example, in the Solomon Islands and coastal communities in Bangladesh, sea level rise is causing high levels of psychological distress. The Netherlands is also facing sea level rise as 26% of the country is located below sea level, and its capital, Amsterdam, experiences frequent coastal flooding.

While some SLR rise is inevitable due to the excess heat already stored in the ocean, we can still slow it and minimize the amount of SLR by slowing the world’s warming.

What can we do to address the psychosocial impacts of sea level rise?

  1. Develop resiliency plans. Inundation levels of 1 m (3 ft) in Florida are estimated
    to affect 2555 miles of road, 35 public schools, and 300,000 homes
    . While Miami-Dade County has put substantial effort into strengthening resilience to SLR, with a comprehensive and user-friendly set of recommendations, as well as a “Sea Level Rise Strategy”, it addresses SLR of a scant 2 ft (0.6 m). Preparation for the actual risks are urgently called for – both physical and psychological.
  2. Prepare for and respond to the psychological toll of sea level rise. After Hurricane Irma, 17% of households in the Florida Keys reported a need for a mental health care provider and, of these, 37.9% did not receive needed services. A 2022 study estimated over one million of people in Florida could experience psychological distress from sea level rise and tropical cyclones. Quite incredibly, no plan in Florida currently includes the growing psychological toll. A strategy to address the psychological toll should include:
    • Education about sea level rise and its root cause – climate change and burning fossil fuels.
    • Creation of disaster, evacuation, and/or relocation plans. Making a plan can help some individuals reduce their anticipatory anxiety.
    • Training health professionals and first responders to understand the urgency of addressing the climate crisis, how to be leaders pressing for policy change, and provide trauma-informed care to those already suffering.
  3. Work together and support one another. Social support from neighbors, companions, and institutions can help communities cope with the psychological harms linked to SLR. Taking action in the face of anxiety-producing situations reduces anxiety and creates a feeling of empowerment – collective action is particularly beneficial. Here are some organisations working on these fronts:
  4. Reduce greenhouse gas emissions and hold those responsible accountable. Some level of SLR is inevitable, but the sooner we stop burning fossil fuels, the less SLR there will be, and the slower it will take for the seas to rise.
  5. Protect those most vulnerable. Some groups are fighting for their own protection. One example: in December 2024, with support from Our Children’s Trust, six youth plaintiffs (aged 18-25), all lifelong Miami-Dade County residents, filed Reynolds v. Public Service Commission, a youth-led constitutional climate lawsuit in Florida to safeguard their right to a livable future.

Further reading

Books

Rising Seas and Shifting Shorelines by John Englander, a chapter in Climate and Your Mind, edited by Lise Van Susteren, published online in 2024.

Climate Change Impacts on Human Health, a chapter from the book Florida’s Climate: Changes, Variations, & Impacts published in 2017, by Liang, S., Kintziger, K., Reaves, P., & Ryan, S. J.

Articles and Online Sources

At Florida Health Centers, “A Rush of Folks” Seek Mental Health Care in Hurricane Aftermath, published in DirectRelief on November 4, 2024 by Talya Meyers.

As Miami Keeps Building, Rising Seas Deepen Its Social Divide, published in YaleEnvironment360 on September 29, 2020, by Mario Alejandro Ariza.

Climate Change and Sea-level Rise in Florida: An Update of the Effects of Climate Change on Florida’s Ocean and Coastal Resources, published in Florida Department of Environmental Protection, in December, 2010, by The Florida Oceans and Coastal Council.

Encroaching Tides in Miami-Dade County, Florida: Investing in Preparedness to Manage the Impacts of Rising Seas, published in Fact Sheet: Sea Level Rise and Tidal Flooding Along the Atlantic Coast, in April 2016, by Union of Concerned Scientists.

Florida Latino Voters Express Deep Concerns About Climate Change, published in PR Newswire on May 2, 2022 by UnidosUS Action Fund.

Florida’s Sea Level Is Rising: And It’s Costing Over $4 Billion, published in SeaLevelRise.org.

For Miami’s Immigrants, some of the cheapest land is the most vulnerable to climate change, published in The World on April 14, 2014 by Patricia Sagastume.

Health and Sea Level Rise: Impacts on South Florida, published in Florida Institute for Health Innovation in April, 2016.

Hurricane Irma: Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and Damage, published in First Street Foundation in October 2018, by Dr. Jeremy Porter et al.

Mini-Guide Summary of the impacts of sea level rise: How sea level rise affects our communities and infrastructure, published in Miami-Dade County Sea Level Rise Strategy.

Mental Health and Our Changing Climate: Impacts, Inequities, Responses, published in American Psychological Association in 2021.

Most U.S Latinos say global climate change and other environmental issues impact their local communities, published in Pew Research Center on October 4, 2021, by Lauren Mora and Mark Hugo Lopez.

Sea-level Rise and Its Impact on Miami-Dade County, published in the World Resources Institute, in 2014, by Forbes Tompkins and Christina Deconicini.

Sea Level Rise Projections: 10 Cities at Risk of Flooding, published in Earth.org on June 4, 2022, by Martina Igini.

Solutions Can Protect Coastal Communities, published in SeaLevelRise.org.

There’s a Lot at Risk from Sea Level Rise: It Impacts Health, Transportation, Safety, and More,, published in SeaLevelRise.org.

The Effects of Climate Change on Hispanic and Latinx Communities, published in The Psychiatric Times on May 6, 2021, by Hector Colon-Rivera and Giselle Plata.

Unified Sea Level Rise Projection Southeast Florida, published in Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change in 2019, by Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact’s Sea Level Rise Ad Hoc Work Group.

Selected Research/Scientific Papers

Acierno, R., Ruggiero, K. J., Galea, S., Resnick, H. S., Koenen, K., Roitzsch, J., de Arellano, M., Boyle, J., & Kilpatrick, D. G. (2007). Psychological sequelae resulting from the 2004 Florida hurricanes: implications for postdisaster intervention. American journal of public health97 Suppl 1(Suppl 1), S103–S108. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2006.087007

David, D., Mellman, T. A., Mendoza, L. M., Kulick-Bell, R., Ironson, G., & Schneiderman, N. (1996). Psychiatric morbidity following Hurricane Andrew. Journal of traumatic stress9(3), 607–612. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02103669

Garfin, D. R., Thompson, R. R., Holman, E. A., Wong-Parodi, G., & Silver, R. C. (2022). Association Between Repeated Exposure to Hurricanes and Mental Health in a Representative Sample of Florida Residents. JAMA network open5(6), e2217251. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.17251

Hauer, M., Evans, J. & Mishra, D. (2016). Millions projected to be at risk from sea-level rise in the continental United States. Nature Clim Change 6, 691–695. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2961

Monsour, M., Clarke-Rubright, E., Lieberman-Cribbin, W., Timmins, C., Taioli, E., Schwartz, R. M., Corley, S. S., Laucis, A. M., & Morey, R. A. (2022). The impact of climate change on the prevalence of mental illness symptoms. Journal of affective disorders300, 430–440. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2021.12.124

Nakabayashi M. (2022). Cumulative Adverse Mental Health Outcomes After Concurrent Disasters-Social, Scientific, and Policy-Making Implications. JAMA network open5(6), e2217260. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.17260

Norris, F. H., Perilla, J. L., Riad, J. K., Kaniasty, K., & Lavizzo, E. A. (1999). Stability and change in stress, resources, and psychological distress following natural disaster: Findings from hurricane Andrew. Anxiety, stress, and coping12(4), 363–396. https://doi.org/10.1080/10615809908249317

Schwartz, R. M., Liu, B., Lieberman-Cribbin, W., & Taioli, E. (2017). Displacement and mental health after natural disasters. The Lancet. Planetary health1(8), e314. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30138-9

Stanke, C., Murray, V., Amlôt, R., Nurse, J., & Williams, R. (2012). The effects of flooding on mental health: Outcomes and recommendations from a review of the literature. PLoS currents4, e4f9f1fa9c3cae. https://doi.org/10.1371/4f9f1fa9c3cae

Torres-Mendoza, Y., Kerr, A., Schnall, A. H., Blackmore, C., & Hartley, S. D. (2021). Community Assessment for Mental and Physical Health Effects After Hurricane Irma — Florida Keys, May 2019. MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report70(26), 937–941. https://doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7026a1

Van Susteren, L., Al-Delaimy, W.K. (2020). Psychological Impacts of Climate Change and Recommendations. In: Al-Delaimy, W., Ramanathan, V., Sánchez Sorondo, M. (eds) Health of People, Health of Planet and Our Responsibility. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31125-4_14

Zemp, M., Huss, M., Thibert, E.et al. (2019). Global glacier mass changes and their contributions to sea-level rise from 1961-2016. Nature, Vol 568. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1071-0

Author and version info

Published: February 28, 2025

Author: Gabriella Teerlynck-Aviles

With gratitude to input from Lise Van Susteren, MD, and SLR Expert John Englander.

Editor: Colleen Rollins, PhD